Dr. Claudia Sahm – The Sahm Rule: Is the US Heading Into a Recession?

What is the Sahm Rule and what does it mean for the US labour market and economy? In this episode, hosts Matthew Schnurr and Dustin Reid are joined by Dr. Claudia Sahm, Founder of Sahm Consulting and former Principal Economist at the Federal Reserve Board. Dr. Sahm explains how the Sahm Rule can be used as an early indicator of a recession, how the robustness of the US labour market can provide a buffer against potential economic downturns, and why the Fed should consider cutting rates sooner rather than later.

This episode was recorded on February 2, 2024.